Eurasia News

  The hour after detection G ulf security is usually discussed in terms of deterrence, military capability and external partnerships. All three matter. But when a crisis begins, the deciding factor can be more modest: whether governments can talk to each other quickly, while the facts are still unclear. During my work in diplomacy, strategic partnerships and international negotiations, I have seen how quickly uncertainty can become a security problem. Several governments may observe the same vessel movement or the same disruption to critical infrastructure and reach different conclusions. Detection is only the beginning. What happens in the hour afterwards is harder: who communicates with whom, which information reaches decision-makers, and how quickly misunderstandings can be corrected. Managing that interval is a core element of strategic resilience.   The proposal T his is why the proposed Muscat Process deserves serious attention. Currently advanced through a Group of Fri...

  T he celebration of 9 January as the  “ Day of Republika Srpska ”, despite rulings by the Constitutional Court of BiH declaring the holiday unconstitutional, represents an open violation of the constitutional order and serves as a tool of political mobilisation. The presence of uniformed forces, paramilitary symbols and foreign actors suggests that the event functions as a security and political spectacle rather than a cultural observance, intentionally raising tensions and provoking confrontation. Secessionist rhetoric can no longer be dismissed as a bluff; it is a real threat to stability, deepening social divisions, fuelling extremism and testing the limits of the international community’s tolerance. The promotion of secession ignores historical experience and obligations stemming from the Dayton Agreement , while the policies pursued by  Milorad Dodik  (SNSD) are leading to international isolation, growing security risks, increased Russian influence and the pot...