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Eurasian Connectivity: From Corridors to Connectivity Ecosystems

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  As disruptions to global supply chains intensify, and the freedom of navigation increasingly calls for a more multipolar approach, rather than being dictated by any single centre of power, the question of land connectivity across the largest landmass on the globe is once again gaining attention.  The following lines offer some reflections on the less explored dimensions of Eurasian connectivity, viewed through the lens of the GAFG Connectivity Doctrine .   Introduction For shippers moving goods between China and Iran , transit time can be an important factor in choosing a transport mode. Some rail services through Central Asia advertise transit times of around 14–18 days, while sea freight can take considerably longer. However, these figures depend on the origin, destination, route, border procedures and whether the estimate covers terminal-to-terminal or door-to-door delivery. The difference can be significant for time-sensitive cargo, but it should not be treated ...

A Future for the Gulf: Turning Dialogue into Regional Security

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  The hour after detection G ulf security is usually discussed in terms of deterrence, military capability and external partnerships. All three matter. But when a crisis begins, the deciding factor can be more modest: whether governments can talk to each other quickly, while the facts are still unclear. During my work in diplomacy, strategic partnerships and international negotiations, I have seen how quickly uncertainty can become a security problem. Several governments may observe the same vessel movement or the same disruption to critical infrastructure and reach different conclusions. Detection is only the beginning. What happens in the hour afterwards is harder: who communicates with whom, which information reaches decision-makers, and how quickly misunderstandings can be corrected. Managing that interval is a core element of strategic resilience.   The proposal T his is why the proposed Muscat Process deserves serious attention. Currently advanced through a Group of Fri...