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Security and geopolitical crisis in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Immagine
  T he celebration of 9 January as the  “ Day of Republika Srpska ”, despite rulings by the Constitutional Court of BiH declaring the holiday unconstitutional, represents an open violation of the constitutional order and serves as a tool of political mobilisation. The presence of uniformed forces, paramilitary symbols and foreign actors suggests that the event functions as a security and political spectacle rather than a cultural observance, intentionally raising tensions and provoking confrontation. Secessionist rhetoric can no longer be dismissed as a bluff; it is a real threat to stability, deepening social divisions, fuelling extremism and testing the limits of the international community’s tolerance. The promotion of secession ignores historical experience and obligations stemming from the Dayton Agreement , while the policies pursued by  Milorad Dodik  (SNSD) are leading to international isolation, growing security risks, increased Russian influence and the pot...

Geopolitical and military lessons drawn from the Russia–Ukraine conflict

Immagine
  T he present paper aims to highlight the main geopolitical and military lessons resulting from the Russia–Ukraine conflict, the largest war fought on the European continent since 1945. Its analysis offers not only an understanding of how international relations are being reshaped, but also of the fundamental changes in the art of war, defense strategies, and the ways societies respond to the pressures generated by war. To grasp the scale and complexity of the current conflict, it is essential to consider the context of its outbreak. The crisis did not begin with the massive attack of 24 February 2022; it was preceded by the events of 2014: the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation and the outbreak of the war in Donbas. Between 2014 and 2022, a progressive escalation unfolded, marked by limited clashes, the consolidation of Western sanctions, increased military support for Kyiv, and the radicalization of geopolitical rhetoric in Moscow. The large-scale invasion of Februar...